Strategy
How to win at poker: where the money comes from
Solved Hand7 min read
Winning at poker takes an edge over your opponents large enough to cover the rake. Better decisions improve your expected result, but no number of hands guarantees a profit. A strong player loses plenty of individual hands, and a weak one wins some. Over thousands of hands, the habits below make a difference. Start with which cards to play, then work through position, prices, bets and review.
Keep the hand rankings nearby when comparing five-card hands, and use the preflop charts to practise opening decisions by position.
01Play fewer hands, chosen by seat
Playing too many weak hands is a costly beginner mistake. Every weak hand you play costs a little, because it makes second-best hands that lose big pots.
How many hands to play depends on where you sit. At a six-handed table 100 big blinds deep, the trainer's charts raise 15.3% of starting hands when everyone folds to you in the first seat, and 45.0% on the button.
| AA: raise 100% | AKs: raise 100% | AQs: raise 100% | AJs: raise 100% | ATs: raise 100% | A9s: raise 100% | A8s: raise 100% | A7s: raise 95%, fold 5% | A6s: raise 50%, fold 50% | A5s: raise 50%, fold 50% | A4s | A3s | A2s |
| AKo: raise 100% | KK: raise 100% | KQs: raise 100% | KJs: raise 100% | KTs: raise 100% | K9s: raise 50%, fold 50% | K8s | K7s | K6s | K5s | K4s | K3s | K2s |
| AQo: raise 100% | KQo: raise 100% | QQ: raise 100% | QJs: raise 100% | QTs: raise 100% | Q9s | Q8s | Q7s | Q6s | Q5s | Q4s | Q3s | Q2s |
| AJo: raise 100% | KJo: raise 70%, fold 30% | QJo | JJ: raise 100% | JTs: raise 100% | J9s: raise 5%, fold 95% | J8s | J7s | J6s | J5s | J4s | J3s | J2s |
| ATo: raise 100% | KTo | QTo | JTo | TT: raise 100% | T9s: raise 100% | T8s | T7s | T6s | T5s | T4s | T3s | T2s |
| A9o: raise 5%, fold 95% | K9o | Q9o | J9o | T9o | 99: raise 100% | 98s: raise 5%, fold 95% | 97s | 96s | 95s | 94s | 93s | 92s |
| A8o | K8o | Q8o | J8o | T8o | 98o | 88: raise 100% | 87s | 86s | 85s | 84s | 83s | 82s |
| A7o | K7o | Q7o | J7o | T7o | 97o | 87o | 77: raise 100% | 76s | 75s | 74s | 73s | 72s |
| A6o | K6o | Q6o | J6o | T6o | 96o | 86o | 76o | 66: raise 100% | 65s | 64s | 63s | 62s |
| A5o | K5o | Q5o | J5o | T5o | 95o | 85o | 75o | 65o | 55: raise 100% | 54s | 53s | 52s |
| A4o | K4o | Q4o | J4o | T4o | 94o | 84o | 74o | 64o | 54o | 44: raise 100% | 43s | 42s |
| A3o | K3o | Q3o | J3o | T3o | 93o | 83o | 73o | 63o | 53o | 43o | 33: raise 100% | 32s |
| A2o | K2o | Q2o | J2o | T2o | 92o | 82o | 72o | 62o | 52o | 42o | 32o | 22: raise 5%, fold 95% |
RaiseCallFold
| AA: raise 100% | AKs: raise 100% | AQs: raise 100% | AJs: raise 100% | ATs: raise 100% | A9s: raise 100% | A8s: raise 100% | A7s: raise 100% | A6s: raise 100% | A5s: raise 100% | A4s: raise 100% | A3s: raise 100% | A2s: raise 100% |
| AKo: raise 100% | KK: raise 100% | KQs: raise 100% | KJs: raise 100% | KTs: raise 100% | K9s: raise 100% | K8s: raise 100% | K7s: raise 100% | K6s: raise 100% | K5s: raise 100% | K4s: raise 100% | K3s: raise 100% | K2s: raise 100% |
| AQo: raise 100% | KQo: raise 100% | QQ: raise 100% | QJs: raise 100% | QTs: raise 100% | Q9s: raise 100% | Q8s: raise 100% | Q7s: raise 100% | Q6s: raise 100% | Q5s: raise 100% | Q4s: raise 100% | Q3s: raise 95%, fold 5% | Q2s: raise 45%, fold 55% |
| AJo: raise 100% | KJo: raise 100% | QJo: raise 100% | JJ: raise 100% | JTs: raise 100% | J9s: raise 100% | J8s: raise 100% | J7s: raise 100% | J6s: raise 80%, fold 20% | J5s: raise 30%, fold 70% | J4s | J3s | J2s |
| ATo: raise 100% | KTo: raise 100% | QTo: raise 100% | JTo: raise 100% | TT: raise 100% | T9s: raise 100% | T8s: raise 100% | T7s: raise 100% | T6s: raise 60%, fold 40% | T5s | T4s | T3s | T2s |
| A9o: raise 100% | K9o: raise 100% | Q9o: raise 100% | J9o: raise 100% | T9o: raise 100% | 99: raise 100% | 98s: raise 100% | 97s: raise 100% | 96s: raise 85%, fold 15% | 95s | 94s | 93s | 92s |
| A8o: raise 100% | K8o: raise 100% | Q8o: raise 100% | J8o: raise 5%, fold 95% | T8o | 98o | 88: raise 100% | 87s: raise 100% | 86s: raise 100% | 85s | 84s | 83s | 82s |
| A7o: raise 100% | K7o: raise 100% | Q7o | J7o | T7o | 97o | 87o | 77: raise 100% | 76s: raise 100% | 75s: raise 90%, fold 10% | 74s | 73s | 72s |
| A6o: raise 100% | K6o: raise 100% | Q6o | J6o | T6o | 96o | 86o | 76o | 66: raise 100% | 65s: raise 100% | 64s | 63s | 62s |
| A5o: raise 100% | K5o: raise 60%, fold 40% | Q5o | J5o | T5o | 95o | 85o | 75o | 65o | 55: raise 100% | 54s: raise 100% | 53s | 52s |
| A4o: raise 100% | K4o | Q4o | J4o | T4o | 94o | 84o | 74o | 64o | 54o | 44: raise 100% | 43s | 42s |
| A3o: raise 100% | K3o | Q3o | J3o | T3o | 93o | 83o | 73o | 63o | 53o | 43o | 33: raise 100% | 32s |
| A2o: raise 100% | K2o | Q2o | J2o | T2o | 92o | 82o | 72o | 62o | 52o | 42o | 32o | 22: raise 100% |
RaiseCallFold
The first seat has five players still to act, and one of them often holds something strong. The button has two, and it acts last on every street after the flop. Compare the seats on the preflop charts page. These are raise-or-fold charts; models that allow small-blind limping can split the hands differently.
02Play more pots in position
means acting after your opponent. The player who acts last sees what the other did before choosing, can take a free card when checked to, and can bet when the other shows weakness. The same two cards win more on the button than in the blinds, which is why the charts above widen as the seat moves toward the button.
In practice this means being selective about out-of-position calls, while still defending the big blind when the price and ranges justify it, and raising more when the players behind you are only the blinds.
03Know the price of every call
A profitable call wins enough on average to pay for the times it loses. turn that into a number: what you must put in, divided by what the pot will hold once you do.
Pot of 100, opponent bets 50: the pot is 150 and you must call 50
You need 50 ÷ (150 + 50) = 25% to break even
If no more betting remains and your hand has more than 25% equity against the betting range, the call makes money on average. If it wins less, folding saves money, even when you might win this particular hand.
- 3.0 : 1
- 25.0%
You call 50 to win 150, so the call breaks even at 25.0%.
The pot odds calculator works any price out, and the same page shows how bigger bets ask for more.
04Bet your strong hands, and bluff for a reason
Against opponents you have observed calling too much and bluffing too little, bet your strong hands, and bet enough that their calls pay you. Checking a strong hand to trap an opponent who would have called a bet throws that money away.
Bluffs still have a place, and they come with a price of their own. A bluff wins when your opponent folds, so it needs to work as often as the bet risks against what it can win.
Bet 50 into a pot of 100: you risk 50 to win 100
The bluff breaks even if it works 50 ÷ (50 + 100) = 33.3% of the time
Before the river, a draw can be a useful bluff because it can improve when called. On the river, blockers and the opponent's range matter instead. The poker math guide works through both the call price and the bluff price.
05Pick games you can beat
Your profit comes from the mistakes of the other players at the table, less the rake. A good player at a table of better players loses money. Loose, passive opponents may offer more profitable opportunities, but the edge still has to cover the rake.
Watch a table before you sit: how many players see each flop, how often hands reach a showdown with weak cards, and who bets only with strong hands. Those habits tell you where your edge is, and the glossary entry on reading opponents shows how the common types play.
06Expect losing stretches
A winning player still loses for weeks at a time. Good decisions raise your average result; they do not stop a run of bad cards. The chart below shows many careers for the same winning player, simulated with the trainer's variance simulator. Only the sampled finishes differ between them; the payout model and assumed skill stay fixed.
- One simulated career
- 5th to 95th percentile of all careers
- Expected profit
Tournaments played, across; profit in buy-ins, up.
Two habits protect you from that spread. Choose an affordable bankroll and stakes that reduce the risk of running out, and judge a session by the decisions you made rather than the money you finished with. The variance simulator lets you try your own win rate and sample size.
07Study the hands you lose money in
Players who keep improving review their hands. A big pot you lost may have been played well and lost to bad luck; a small pot you won may hide a mistake you make every session. Review helps you tell those cases apart.
You can import your hand histories and have every decision graded, or work through the learning path, which drills the spots above in order: opening ranges, position, pot odds and bluffing.
Try itThe learning pathShort lessons and drills, from your first preflop decision to a full hand. The full path requires sign-in.You can try the free sample lesson first.
Sources
- Texas hold 'em, Wikipedia
- Fundamental theorem of poker, Wikipedia
Solved Hand is a study tool with no real money. Nothing here is gambling or financial advice; see the disclaimer and how the charts and grades are made. If gambling is causing you harm, here is where to get help.